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IndiaPredictions › Europa League › AC Milan vs Benfica
AC Milan vs Benfica prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UTC, San Siro
AC Milan1.36 - 1.44
expected goals
BenficaMilan 35%Draw 27%Benfica 38%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Benfica +0.5
★
Best value
Benfica +0.5
⚡
Bold pick
Correct score 1-1
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan to win | 35% | 2.86 | 2.10 | -26.7% |
| A Draw | 27% | 3.74 | 3.55 | -5.2% |
| Benfica to win | 38% | 2.60 | 3.35 | +28.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.69 | -10.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.10 | -1.3% |
| AC Milan -0.5 | 35% | 2.86 | 2.00 | -30.2% |
| Benfica +0.5 | 65% | 1.54 | 1.71 | +11.6% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.74 |
| AC Milan or Draw | 62% | 1.62 |
| Benfica or Draw | 65% | 1.54 |
| AC Milan to win and Over 2.5 | 22% | 4.61 |
| Benfica to win and Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.16 |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 24% | 4.21 |
| Benfica clean sheet | 26% | 3.90 |
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-28.6%
2-18.1%
0-18.0%
1-07.6%
Questions people ask
Who will win AC Milan vs Benfica?
Our model gives AC Milan a 35% chance, the draw 27% and Benfica 38%.
How many goals will there be in AC Milan vs Benfica?
We expect about 2.8 goals (AC Milan 1.36, Benfica 1.44). Over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Benfica?
Both teams to score has a 57% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.6% chance, followed by 1-2 and 2-1.