PredictionsPremier LeagueAFC Bournemouth vs Brentford
Premier League

AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 Kenya time, Vitality Stadium

AFC Bournemouth
1.53 - 1.37
expected goals
Brentford
Bournemouth 41%Draw 26%Brentford 33%

Our three picks

Safest pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

Best value

Under 2.5 goals
45% chancePrice 2.35+4.9% value2 units

Bold pick

AFC Bournemouth to win
41% chancePrice 2.50+1.7% value1 unit

Price check against DraftKings

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
AFC Bournemouth to win41%2.462.50+1.7%
A Draw26%3.843.60-6.1%
Brentford to win33%3.012.70-10.3%
Over 2.5 goals55%1.811.61-11.1%
Under 2.5 goals45%2.242.35+4.9%
AFC Bournemouth -0.541%2.462.35-4.4%
Brentford +0.559%1.691.53-9.5%

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.03
Both teams to score59%1.69
AFC Bournemouth or Draw67%1.50
Brentford or Draw59%1.69
AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.526%3.78
Brentford to win and Over 2.521%4.70
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet26%3.92
Brentford clean sheet22%4.63

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%
1-07.8%
0-16.8%

Questions people ask

Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Our model gives AFC Bournemouth a 41% chance, the draw 26% and Brentford 33%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford?

We expect about 2.9 goals (AFC Bournemouth 1.53, Brentford 1.37). Over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance.

Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

1-1, with a 12.2% chance, followed by 2-1 and 1-2.