Predictions › Ligue 1 › AJ Auxerre vs Nice
AJ Auxerre vs Nice prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 21:45 Kenya time, Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
AJ Auxerre1.38 - 1.19
expected goals
NiceAuxerre 41%Draw 28%Nice 32%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Under 3.5 goals
★
Best value
AJ Auxerre to win
⚡
Bold pick
AJ Auxerre -0.5
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre to win | 41% | 2.47 | 2.55 | +3.3% |
| A Draw | 28% | 3.58 | 3.40 | -5.0% |
| Nice to win | 32% | 3.17 | 2.75 | -13.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 1.91 | -9.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 | -3.5% |
| AJ Auxerre -0.5 | 41% | 2.47 | 2.45 | -0.7% |
| Nice +0.5 | 59% | 1.68 | 1.49 | -11.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.89 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.89 |
| AJ Auxerre or Draw | 68% | 1.46 |
| Nice or Draw | 59% | 1.68 |
| AJ Auxerre to win and Over 2.5 | 23% | 4.27 |
| Nice to win and Over 2.5 | 18% | 5.63 |
| AJ Auxerre clean sheet | 30% | 3.28 |
| Nice clean sheet | 25% | 3.97 |
Most likely scores
1-113.3%
1-09.8%
2-18.7%
0-08.4%
0-18.4%
Questions people ask
Who will win AJ Auxerre vs Nice?
Our model gives AJ Auxerre a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Nice 32%.
How many goals will there be in AJ Auxerre vs Nice?
We expect about 2.6 goals (AJ Auxerre 1.38, Nice 1.19). Over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance.
Will both teams score in AJ Auxerre vs Nice?
Both teams to score has a 53% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 13.3% chance, followed by 1-0 and 2-1.