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Predictions › Saudi Pro League › Al Diriyah vs Abha
Saudi Pro LeagueSun 13 Sept, 18:00 UTC

Al Diriyah vs Abha prediction

Al-Awwal Park

Al DiriyahHome
1.93 : 0.97
expected goals
AbhaAway
59%Al Diriyah
23%Draw
18%Abha
Eagle safe pickAl Diriyah or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Diriyah vs Abha is Al Diriyah to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Al Diriyah or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
Al Diriyah to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Diriyah 1.9, Abha 1.0
Best bet
Al Diriyah or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Al Diriyah or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Diriyah 59%, the draw 23% and Abha 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Al Diriyah the favourite at 1.51.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Diriyah took 10 points from their last 5 games and Abha took 1 from 5. Al Diriyah come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Diriyah won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Abha won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Diriyah score 1.2 goals a game and let in 0.8. Abha score 0.8 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Al Diriyah games and 4 of Abha games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Al Diriyah or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Al Diriyah vs Abha: Al Diriyah are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Diriyah host Abha in the Saudi Pro League on Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 at Al-Awwal Park. Our prediction for Al Diriyah vs Abha is Al Diriyah to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Al Diriyah or Draw at 1.22.

Al Diriyah form

Al Diriyah have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Abha form

Abha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Diriyah to score about 1.9 goals and Abha about 1.0. That points to Al Diriyah to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Diriyah or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.5 at 2.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 6 games in all competitions.

Al DiriyahAbha
Games played66
Wins30
Draws11
Losses25
Goals scored75
Goals conceded513
Scored per game1.20.8
Conceded per game0.82.2
Home record0W 1D 2L0W 1D 2L
Away record3W 0D 0L0W 0D 3L
Clean sheets33%0%
Both teams scored33%67%
Over 2.5 goals33%67%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Al Diriyah to win59%1.691.51-10.7%
A Draw23%4.344.30-1.0%
Abha to win18%5.585.50-1.4%
Over 2.5 goals56%1.791.65-8.1%
Under 2.5 goals44%2.272.10-7.3%
Al Diriyah -1.539%2.572.25-12.4%
Abha +1.561%1.641.53-6.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.03
Both teams to score54%1.86
Al Diriyah or Draw82%1.22
Abha or Draw41%2.44
Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.539%2.57
Abha to win and Over 2.511%9.44
Al Diriyah clean sheet38%2.64
Abha clean sheet15%6.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-010.2%
1-010.0%
2-19.9%
3-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Diriyah vs Abha?

Our prediction for Al Diriyah vs Abha is Al Diriyah to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Al Diriyah or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Al Diriyah vs Abha?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-0. We expect Al Diriyah to score 1.9 goals and Abha 1.0.

Will both teams score in Al Diriyah vs Abha?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Al Diriyah last 6 games and 4 of Abha last 6.

How are Al Diriyah playing?

Al Diriyah have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Abha playing?

Abha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Diriyah vs Abha?

Al Diriyah or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.