Predictions › Saudi Pro League › Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr

Saudi Pro LeagueSat 12 Sept, 18:00 UTC

Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr prediction

Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium

Al KhaleejHome

0.98 : 2.96

expected goals

Al NassrAway

9%Al Khaleej

14%Draw

77%Al Nassr

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Al Nassr to win
Chance: 77%
Most likely score: 0-2
Expected goals: Al Khaleej 1.0, Al Nassr 3.0
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Nassr to win and both score

42% chanceFair price 2.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Al Khaleej 9%, the draw 14% and Al Nassr 77%. The bookmakers agree and make Al Nassr the favourite at 1.21.
2
Recent form
Al Khaleej took 3 points from their last 5 games and Al Nassr took 12 from 5. Al Nassr come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Al Khaleej won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Al Nassr won 8 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Al Khaleej score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Nassr score 2.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Khaleej games and 14 of Al Nassr games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Al Khaleej won 0 and Al Nassr won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Khaleej 0, Al Nassr 5.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr: Al Nassr are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Khaleej host Al Nassr in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 12 Sept, 18:00 at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium. Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Al Khaleej form

Al Khaleej have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Al Nassr form

Al Nassr have 17 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Khaleej won 0, Al Nassr won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Khaleej 0, Al Nassr 5.

Our call

We expect Al Khaleej to score about 1.0 goals and Al Nassr about 3.0. That points to Al Nassr to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Al Nassr to win and both score at 2.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Al Khaleej	Al Nassr
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	17
Draws	6	1
Losses	11	2
Goals scored	17	55
Goals conceded	39	16
Scored per game	0.8	2.8
Conceded per game	1.9	0.8
Home record	2W 2D 7L	9W 1D 0L
Away record	1W 4D 4L	8W 0D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	50%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Al Khaleej to win	9%	11.03	11.00	-0.3%
A Draw	14%	7.17	7.00	-2.4%
Al Nassr to win	77%	1.30	1.21	-6.8%
Over 3.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.83	-4.0%
Under 3.5 goals	48%	2.10	1.91	-9.1%
Al Khaleej +2.5	61%	1.65	1.54	-6.6%
Al Nassr -2.5	39%	2.54	2.30	-9.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	91%	1.10
Over 2.5 goals	75%	1.33
Over 3.5 goals	56%	1.80
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
Al Khaleej or Draw	23%	4.35
Al Nassr or Draw	91%	1.10
Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.5	7%	15.22
Al Nassr to win and Over 2.5	63%	1.58
Al Khaleej clean sheet	5%	19.36
Al Nassr clean sheet	37%	2.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-28.5%

0-38.4%

1-28.3%

1-38.2%

0-46.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-3 and 1-2. We expect Al Khaleej to score 1.0 goals and Al Nassr 3.0.

Will both teams score in Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Al Khaleej last 20 games and 10 of Al Nassr last 20.

How are Al Khaleej playing?

How are Al Nassr playing?

What happened when Al Khaleej and Al Nassr last met?

It ended Al Khaleej 0, Al Nassr 5. In the last 2 meetings Al Khaleej won 0 and Al Nassr won 2.

What is the best bet for Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.