Predictions › Saudi Pro League › Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood

Saudi Pro LeagueSun 13 Sept, 18:00 UTC

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood prediction

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al RiyadhHome

1.19 : 1.44

expected goals

Al KholoodAway

30%Al Riyadh

27%Draw

42%Al Kholood

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood is Al Kholood to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction: Al Kholood to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Al Riyadh 1.2, Al Kholood 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Kholood to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Al Riyadh 30%, the draw 27% and Al Kholood 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Al Kholood the favourite at 2.20.
2
Recent form
Al Riyadh took 5 points from their last 5 games and Al Kholood took 11 from 5. Al Kholood come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Al Riyadh won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Al Kholood won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Al Riyadh score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Kholood score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Riyadh games and 13 of Al Kholood games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Al Riyadh won 2 and Al Kholood won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Kholood 0, Al Riyadh 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood: Al Kholood shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Riyadh host Al Kholood in the Saudi Pro League on Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium. Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood is Al Kholood to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

Al Riyadh form

Al Riyadh have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Al Kholood form

Al Kholood have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Riyadh won 2, Al Kholood won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Kholood 0, Al Riyadh 2.

Our call

We expect Al Riyadh to score about 1.2 goals and Al Kholood about 1.4. That points to Al Kholood to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Al Kholood to win and Over 2.5 at 3.99.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Al Riyadh	Al Kholood
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	6
Draws	5	8
Losses	9	6
Goals scored	23	25
Goals conceded	39	34
Scored per game	1.1	1.3
Conceded per game	1.9	1.7
Home record	4W 2D 3L	3W 4D 2L
Away record	2W 3D 6L	3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Al Riyadh to win	30%	3.28	3.05	-7.1%
A Draw	27%	3.65	3.45	-5.4%
Al Kholood to win	42%	2.37	2.20	-7.3%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	1.98	1.80	-9.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50%	2.02	1.87	-7.2%
Al Riyadh +0.5	56%	1.77	1.63	-8.3%
Al Kholood -0.5	44%	2.29	2.05	-10.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.04
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.67
Both teams to score	54%	1.85
Al Riyadh or Draw	58%	1.73
Al Kholood or Draw	70%	1.44
Al Riyadh to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.69
Al Kholood to win and Over 2.5	25%	3.99
Al Riyadh clean sheet	24%	4.24
Al Kholood clean sheet	30%	3.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%

0-19.6%

1-28.9%

0-07.9%

1-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood is Al Kholood to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Al Riyadh to score 1.2 goals and Al Kholood 1.4.

Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Al Riyadh last 20 games and 14 of Al Kholood last 20.

How are Al Riyadh playing?

How are Al Kholood playing?

What happened when Al Riyadh and Al Kholood last met?

It ended Al Kholood 0, Al Riyadh 2. In the last 2 meetings Al Riyadh won 2 and Al Kholood won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.