Predictions › Saudi Pro League › Al Shabab vs Al Fayha

Saudi Pro LeagueSat 12 Sept, 18:00 UTC

Al Shabab vs Al Fayha prediction

Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al ShababHome

1.96 : 1.18

expected goals

Al FayhaAway

55%Al Shabab

23%Draw

22%Al Fayha

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Fayha is Al Shabab to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Al Shabab to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Al Shabab 2.0, Al Fayha 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Shabab to win and Over 2.5

39% chanceFair price 2.591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Al Shabab 55%, the draw 23% and Al Fayha 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Al Shabab the favourite at 1.59.
2
Recent form
Al Shabab took 3 points from their last 5 games and Al Fayha took 5 from 5. Al Fayha come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Al Shabab won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Al Fayha won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Al Shabab score 1.6 goals a game and let in 2.1. Al Fayha score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Al Shabab games and 12 of Al Fayha games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Al Shabab won 1 and Al Fayha won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Shabab 1, Al Fayha 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Al Shabab vs Al Fayha: Al Shabab are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Shabab host Al Fayha in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 12 Sept, 18:00 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Fayha is Al Shabab to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Al Shabab form

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Al Fayha form

Al Fayha have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Shabab won 1, Al Fayha won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Shabab 1, Al Fayha 0.

Our call

We expect Al Shabab to score about 2.0 goals and Al Fayha about 1.2. That points to Al Shabab to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Al Shabab to win and Over 2.5 at 2.59.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Al Shabab	Al Fayha
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	5
Draws	7	5
Losses	9	10
Goals scored	31	26
Goals conceded	42	32
Scored per game	1.6	1.3
Conceded per game	2.1	1.6
Home record	3W 2D 6L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	1W 5D 3L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	10%	15%
Both teams scored	80%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Al Shabab to win	55%	1.82	1.59	-12.9%
A Draw	23%	4.33	4.40	+1.6%
Al Fayha to win	22%	4.53	5.00	+10.3%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.68	1.59	-5.4%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	2.48	2.30	-7.1%
Al Shabab -0.5	58%	1.72	1.56	-9.4%
Al Fayha +0.5	42%	2.39	2.30	-3.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.65
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.61
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
Al Shabab or Draw	78%	1.28
Al Fayha or Draw	45%	2.22
Al Shabab to win and Over 2.5	39%	2.59
Al Fayha to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.89
Al Shabab clean sheet	31%	3.25
Al Fayha clean sheet	14%	7.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%

2-19.8%

2-08.3%

1-07.9%

3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Fayha is Al Shabab to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Al Shabab to score 2.0 goals and Al Fayha 1.2.

Will both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Al Shabab last 20 games and 12 of Al Fayha last 20.

How are Al Shabab playing?

How are Al Fayha playing?

What happened when Al Shabab and Al Fayha last met?

It ended Al Shabab 1, Al Fayha 0. In the last 2 meetings Al Shabab won 1 and Al Fayha won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.