Predictions › Saudi Pro League › Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal

Saudi Pro LeagueSat 12 Sept, 15:50 UTC

Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal prediction

Al Taawon Club Stadium

Al TaawounHome

0.90 : 2.56

expected goals

Al HilalAway

11%Al Taawoun

17%Draw

73%Al Hilal

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.49

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.49.

Prediction: Al Hilal to win
Chance: 73%
Most likely score: 0-2
Expected goals: Al Taawoun 0.9, Al Hilal 2.6
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.49
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

67% chanceFair price 1.491 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Hilal to win and both score

36% chanceFair price 2.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Al Taawoun 11%, the draw 17% and Al Hilal 73%. The bookmakers agree and make Al Hilal the favourite at 1.21.
2
Recent form
Al Taawoun took 2 points from their last 5 games and Al Hilal took 12 from 5. Al Hilal come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Al Taawoun won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Al Hilal won 8 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Al Taawoun score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. Al Hilal score 2.5 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Taawoun games and 10 of Al Hilal games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Al Taawoun won 0 and Al Hilal won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Al Hilal 2, Al Taawoun 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal: Al Hilal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Taawoun host Al Hilal in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 12 Sept, 15:50 at Al Taawon Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.49.

Al Taawoun form

Al Taawoun have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Al Hilal form

Al Hilal have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Taawoun won 0, Al Hilal won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Hilal 2, Al Taawoun 2.

Our call

We expect Al Taawoun to score about 0.9 goals and Al Hilal about 2.6. That points to Al Hilal to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.49. Our bold bet is Al Hilal to win and both score at 2.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Al Taawoun	Al Hilal
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	15
Draws	8	4
Losses	9	1
Goals scored	25	49
Goals conceded	30	14
Scored per game	1.3	2.5
Conceded per game	1.5	0.7
Home record	1W 5D 4L	7W 2D 1L
Away record	2W 3D 5L	8W 2D 0L
Clean sheets	15%	55%
Both teams scored	70%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Al Taawoun to win	11%	9.47	11.00	+16.1%
A Draw	17%	6.01	7.00	+16.5%
Al Hilal to win	73%	1.37	1.21	-11.8%
Over 3.5 goals	46%	2.15	2.00	-7.0%
Under 3.5 goals	54%	1.87	1.77	-5.4%
Al Taawoun +1.5	44%	2.28	2.20	-3.5%
Al Hilal -1.5	56%	1.78	1.59	-10.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1.16
Over 2.5 goals	67%	1.49
Over 3.5 goals	45%	2.20
Both teams to score	55%	1.81
Al Taawoun or Draw	27%	3.68
Al Hilal or Draw	89%	1.12
Al Taawoun to win and Over 2.5	7%	14.50
Al Hilal to win and Over 2.5	55%	1.82
Al Taawoun clean sheet	8%	12.95
Al Hilal clean sheet	41%	2.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-210.3%

1-29.3%

0-38.8%

1-37.9%

1-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal?

Our prediction for Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.49.

What is the score prediction for Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-3. We expect Al Taawoun to score 0.9 goals and Al Hilal 2.6.

Will both teams score in Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Al Taawoun last 20 games and 8 of Al Hilal last 20.

How are Al Taawoun playing?

How are Al Hilal playing?

What happened when Al Taawoun and Al Hilal last met?

It ended Al Hilal 2, Al Taawoun 2. In the last 2 meetings Al Taawoun won 0 and Al Hilal won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Taawoun vs Al Hilal?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.49, with a 67% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.