PredictionsSuper LigAlanyaspor vs Goztepe
Super LigSat 12 Sept, 17:00 UTC

Alanyaspor vs Goztepe prediction

Kirbiyik Holding Stadyumu

AlanyasporHome
1.61 : 1.13
expected goals
GoztepeAway
48%Alanyaspor
26%Draw
26%Goztepe
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Goztepe is Alanyaspor to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Alanyaspor to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Alanyaspor 1.6, Goztepe 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

Eagle bold pick

Alanyaspor to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alanyaspor 48%, the draw 26% and Goztepe 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alanyaspor took 7 points from their last 5 games and Goztepe took 1 from 5. Alanyaspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alanyaspor won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Goztepe won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alanyaspor score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Goztepe score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Alanyaspor games and 11 of Goztepe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Alanyaspor won 1 and Goztepe won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Goztepe 2, Alanyaspor 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Alanyaspor vs Goztepe: Alanyaspor are favourites

The big picture

Alanyaspor host Goztepe in the Super Lig on Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 at Kirbiyik Holding Stadyumu. Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Goztepe is Alanyaspor to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Alanyaspor form

Alanyaspor have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Goztepe form

Goztepe have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Alanyaspor won 1, Goztepe won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Goztepe 2, Alanyaspor 2.

Our call

We expect Alanyaspor to score about 1.6 goals and Goztepe about 1.1. That points to Alanyaspor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Alanyaspor to win and Over 2.5 at 3.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AlanyasporGoztepe
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws89
Losses77
Goals scored2725
Goals conceded2633
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record4W 2D 3L3W 4D 3L
Away record1W 6D 4L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%3.41
Both teams to score55%1.83
Alanyaspor or Draw74%1.35
Goztepe or Draw52%1.92
Alanyaspor to win and Over 2.530%3.37
Goztepe to win and Over 2.515%6.56
Alanyaspor clean sheet32%3.08
Goztepe clean sheet20%4.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-09.7%
2-19.5%
2-08.4%
0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?

Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Goztepe is Alanyaspor to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Alanyaspor to score 1.6 goals and Goztepe 1.1.

Will both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Alanyaspor last 20 games and 12 of Goztepe last 20.

How are Alanyaspor playing?

Alanyaspor have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Goztepe playing?

Goztepe have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Alanyaspor and Goztepe last met?

It ended Goztepe 2, Alanyaspor 2. In the last 2 meetings Alanyaspor won 1 and Goztepe won 0.

What is the best bet for Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.