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IndiaPredictions › LaLiga › Alavés vs Valencia
Alavés vs Valencia prediction
Tue 15 Sept, 18:00 UTC, Mendizorrotza
Alavés1.53 - 0.96
expected goals
ValenciaAlavés 50%Draw 27%Valencia 23%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Alavés or Draw
⚡
Bold pick
Alavés to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés to win | 50% | 2.01 | 1.95 | -3.0% |
| A Draw | 27% | 3.67 | 3.10 | -15.6% |
| Valencia to win | 23% | 4.34 | 4.40 | +1.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | 2.25 | +1.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.63 | -11.1% |
| Alavés -0.5 | 50% | 2.01 | 1.87 | -7.1% |
| Valencia +0.5 | 50% | 1.99 | 1.80 | -9.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.17 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 2.04 |
| Alavés or Draw | 77% | 1.30 |
| Valencia or Draw | 50% | 1.99 |
| Alavés to win and Over 2.5 | 28% | 3.56 |
| Valencia to win and Over 2.5 | 12% | 8.36 |
| Alavés clean sheet | 38% | 2.61 |
| Valencia clean sheet | 22% | 4.60 |
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
1-012.0%
2-09.7%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%
Questions people ask
Who will win Alavés vs Valencia?
Our model gives Alavés a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Valencia 23%.
How many goals will there be in Alavés vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.5 goals (Alavés 1.53, Valencia 0.96). Over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance.
Will both teams score in Alavés vs Valencia?
Both teams to score has a 49% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.9% chance, followed by 1-0 and 2-0.