Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán

Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 21 Sept, 17:30 UTC

Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán prediction

José María Minella

AldosiviHome

1.13 : 1.06

expected goals

Atlético TucumánAway

36%Aldosivi

31%Draw

33%Atl Tucumán

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán is Aldosivi to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Aldosivi to win
Chance: 36%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Aldosivi 1.1, Atlético Tucumán 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Aldosivi 36%, the draw 31% and Atlético Tucumán 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Aldosivi took 4 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Tucumán took 8 from 5. Atlético Tucumán come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Aldosivi won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético Tucumán won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Aldosivi score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Atlético Tucumán score 0.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Aldosivi games and 8 of Atlético Tucumán games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Aldosivi won 0 and Atlético Tucumán won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atlético Tucumán 1, Aldosivi 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán: Aldosivi shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aldosivi host Atlético Tucumán in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 21 Sept, 17:30 at José María Minella. Our prediction for Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán is Aldosivi to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Aldosivi form

Aldosivi have 1 win, 7 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Atlético Tucumán form

Atlético Tucumán have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Aldosivi won 0, Atlético Tucumán won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Tucumán 1, Aldosivi 1.

Our call

We expect Aldosivi to score about 1.1 goals and Atlético Tucumán about 1.1. That points to Aldosivi to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.04.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Aldosivi	Atl Tucumán
Games played	20	20
Wins	1	6
Draws	7	7
Losses	12	7
Goals scored	12	18
Goals conceded	27	18
Scored per game	0.6	0.9
Conceded per game	1.4	0.9
Home record	1W 5D 3L	2W 6D 2L
Away record	0W 2D 9L	4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	50%
Both teams scored	50%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	65%	1.53
Over 2.5 goals	38%	2.66
Over 3.5 goals	18%	5.56
Both teams to score	45%	2.21
Aldosivi or Draw	67%	1.49
Atlético Tucumán or Draw	64%	1.57
Aldosivi to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.75
Atlético Tucumán to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.41
Aldosivi clean sheet	34%	2.90
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet	32%	3.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%

0-011.9%

1-011.8%

0-111.0%

2-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán?

Our prediction for Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán is Aldosivi to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Aldosivi to score 1.1 goals and Atlético Tucumán 1.1.

Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Aldosivi last 20 games and 8 of Atlético Tucumán last 20.

How are Aldosivi playing?

How are Atlético Tucumán playing?

What happened when Aldosivi and Atlético Tucumán last met?

It ended Atlético Tucumán 1, Aldosivi 1. In the last 1 meeting Aldosivi won 0 and Atlético Tucumán won 0.

What is the best bet for Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.