Predictions › South Africa › AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants

South African PremiershipSat 12 Sept, 15:00 South Africa time

AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants prediction

Princess Magogo Stadium

AmaZuluHome

1.52 : 0.84

expected goals

Marumo GallantsAway

52%AmaZulu

27%Draw

20%Marumo

Eagle safe pickAmaZulu or Draw

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants is AmaZulu to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is AmaZulu or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction: AmaZulu to win
Chance: 52%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: AmaZulu 1.5, Marumo Gallants 0.8
Best bet: AmaZulu or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AmaZulu or Draw

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

AmaZulu to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives AmaZulu 52%, the draw 27% and Marumo Gallants 20%. The bookmakers agree and make AmaZulu the favourite at 1.95.
2
Recent form
AmaZulu took 10 points from their last 5 games and Marumo Gallants took 2 from 5. AmaZulu come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
AmaZulu won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Marumo Gallants won 1 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
AmaZulu score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of AmaZulu games and 8 of Marumo Gallants games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, AmaZulu won 1 and Marumo Gallants won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Marumo Gallants 0, AmaZulu 1.
6
The safest bet
AmaZulu or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants: AmaZulu are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AmaZulu host Marumo Gallants in the South African Premiership on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at Princess Magogo Stadium. Our prediction for AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants is AmaZulu to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is AmaZulu or Draw at 1.25.

AmaZulu form

AmaZulu have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Marumo Gallants form

Marumo Gallants have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. AmaZulu won 1, Marumo Gallants won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Marumo Gallants 0, AmaZulu 1.

Our call

We expect AmaZulu to score about 1.5 goals and Marumo Gallants about 0.8. That points to AmaZulu to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AmaZulu or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is AmaZulu to win and Over 2.5 at 3.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	AmaZulu	Marumo
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	1
Draws	6	9
Losses	6	10
Goals scored	22	14
Goals conceded	21	29
Scored per game	1.1	0.7
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	3W 4D 3L	0W 7D 5L
Away record	5W 2D 3L	1W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	35%	20%
Both teams scored	40%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
AmaZulu to win	52%	1.91	1.95	+2.4%
A Draw	27%	3.65	3.05	-16.3%
Marumo Gallants to win	20%	4.97	3.95	-20.5%
Over 2.5 goals	39%	2.53	2.40	-5.2%
Under 2.5 goals	61%	1.65	1.50	-9.2%
AmaZulu -0.5	50%	2.01	1.87	-6.9%
Marumo Gallants +0.5	50%	1.99	1.77	-11.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.45
Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.39
Over 3.5 goals	21%	4.71
Both teams to score	45%	2.22
AmaZulu or Draw	80%	1.25
Marumo Gallants or Draw	48%	2.10
AmaZulu to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.58
Marumo Gallants to win and Over 2.5	10%	10.50
AmaZulu clean sheet	43%	2.32
Marumo Gallants clean sheet	22%	4.55

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.6%

1-112.8%

2-010.9%

0-010.2%

2-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants?

Our prediction for AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants is AmaZulu to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is AmaZulu or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect AmaZulu to score 1.5 goals and Marumo Gallants 0.8.

Will both teams score in AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of AmaZulu last 20 games and 10 of Marumo Gallants last 20.

How are AmaZulu playing?

How are Marumo Gallants playing?

What happened when AmaZulu and Marumo Gallants last met?

It ended Marumo Gallants 0, AmaZulu 1. In the last 1 meeting AmaZulu won 1 and Marumo Gallants won 0.

What is the best bet for AmaZulu vs Marumo Gallants?

AmaZulu or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.