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Predictions › Super Lig › Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir
Super LigSun 13 Sept, 17:00 UTC

Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction

Diyarbakir Stadyumu

ASAmed SFKHome
1.40 : 1.36
expected goals
Istanbul BasaksehirAway
37%Amed SFK
27%Draw
36%Istanbul BB
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Amed SFK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Amed SFK to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Amed SFK 1.4, Istanbul Basaksehir 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Amed SFK 37%, the draw 27% and Istanbul Basaksehir 36%. The bookmakers agree and make Amed SFK the favourite at 2.50.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Amed SFK took 7 points from their last 4 games and Istanbul Basaksehir took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Amed SFK score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Istanbul Basaksehir score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Amed SFK games and 14 of Istanbul Basaksehir games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir: Amed SFK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Amed SFK host Istanbul Basaksehir in the Super Lig on Sun 13 Sept, 17:00 at Diyarbakir Stadyumu. Our prediction for Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Amed SFK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Amed SFK form

Amed SFK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, W, L, W, newest first.

Istanbul Basaksehir form

Istanbul Basaksehir have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Amed SFK to score about 1.4 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir about 1.4. That points to Amed SFK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.81.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Amed SFKIstanbul BB
Games played420
Wins210
Draws15
Losses15
Goals scored735
Goals conceded522
Scored per game1.81.8
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record2W 0D 0L6W 3D 2L
Away record0W 1D 1L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%40%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals75%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Amed SFK to win37%2.672.50-6.5%
A Draw27%3.713.45-6.9%
Istanbul Basaksehir to win36%2.812.65-5.6%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.911.77-7.5%
Under 2.5 goals48%2.101.95-6.9%
Amed SFK -0.538%2.602.35-9.5%
Istanbul Basaksehir +0.562%1.631.50-7.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.36
Both teams to score57%1.77
Amed SFK or Draw64%1.55
Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw63%1.60
Amed SFK to win and Over 2.523%4.34
Istanbul Basaksehir to win and Over 2.522%4.58
Amed SFK clean sheet26%3.88
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet25%4.04

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
2-18.4%
1-28.2%
1-08.2%
0-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Our prediction for Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Amed SFK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Amed SFK to score 1.4 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir 1.4.

Will both teams score in Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Amed SFK last 4 games and 11 of Istanbul Basaksehir last 20.

How are Amed SFK playing?

Amed SFK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Istanbul Basaksehir playing?

Istanbul Basaksehir have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Amed SFK vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.