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IndiaPredictions › Europa League › Anderlecht vs Lyon
Anderlecht vs Lyon prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UTC, Lotto Park
Anderlecht1.27 - 1.55
expected goals
LyonAnderlecht 30%Draw 26%Lyon 43%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Anderlecht to win
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht to win | 30% | 3.29 | 3.35 | +1.9% |
| A Draw | 26% | 3.80 | 3.75 | -1.4% |
| Lyon to win | 43% | 2.31 | 2.05 | -11.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 1.63 | -13.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 | 2.20 | +2.3% |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 57% | 1.76 | 1.74 | -1.3% |
| Lyon -0.5 | 43% | 2.31 | 1.91 | -17.4% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.74 |
| Anderlecht or Draw | 57% | 1.76 |
| Lyon or Draw | 70% | 1.44 |
| Anderlecht to win and Over 2.5 | 19% | 5.33 |
| Lyon to win and Over 2.5 | 28% | 3.63 |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 21% | 4.72 |
| Lyon clean sheet | 28% | 3.55 |
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-29.1%
0-18.6%
2-17.4%
0-27.2%
Questions people ask
Who will win Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Our model gives Anderlecht a 30% chance, the draw 26% and Lyon 43%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.8 goals (Anderlecht 1.27, Lyon 1.55). Over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance.
Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Both teams to score has a 57% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.4% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-1.