Predictions › Belgian Pro League › Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise

Belgian Pro LeagueSun 20 Sept, 11:30 UTC

Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction

Bosuilstadion

AntwerpHome

1.17 : 2.11

expected goals

Union St.-GilloiseAway

20%Antwerp

22%Draw

58%Union SG

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction: Union St.-Gilloise to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Antwerp 1.2, Union St.-Gilloise 2.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.5

43% chanceFair price 2.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Antwerp 20%, the draw 22% and Union St.-Gilloise 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Antwerp took 7 points from their last 5 games and Union St.-Gilloise took 13 from 5. Union St.-Gilloise come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Antwerp won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Union St.-Gilloise won 6 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Antwerp score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. Union St.-Gilloise score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Antwerp games and 13 of Union St.-Gilloise games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Antwerp won 0 and Union St.-Gilloise won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Union St.-Gilloise 2, Antwerp 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise: Union St.-Gilloise are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Antwerp host Union St.-Gilloise in the Belgian Pro League on Sun 20 Sept, 11:30 at Bosuilstadion. Our prediction for Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Antwerp form

Antwerp have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Union St.-Gilloise form

Union St.-Gilloise have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Antwerp won 0, Union St.-Gilloise won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Union St.-Gilloise 2, Antwerp 1.

Our call

We expect Antwerp to score about 1.2 goals and Union St.-Gilloise about 2.1. That points to Union St.-Gilloise to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.5 at 2.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Antwerp	Union SG
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	14
Draws	4	4
Losses	9	2
Goals scored	25	39
Goals conceded	30	16
Scored per game	1.3	1.9
Conceded per game	1.5	0.8
Home record	4W 2D 4L	8W 2D 0L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	30%	50%
Both teams scored	45%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	85%	1.18
Over 2.5 goals	64%	1.57
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.40
Both teams to score	61%	1.63
Antwerp or Draw	42%	2.40
Union St.-Gilloise or Draw	80%	1.25
Antwerp to win and Over 2.5	14%	7.38
Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.5	43%	2.34
Antwerp clean sheet	12%	8.29
Union St.-Gilloise clean sheet	31%	3.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.8%

1-29.8%

0-28.3%

0-17.3%

1-36.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Our prediction for Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Antwerp to score 1.2 goals and Union St.-Gilloise 2.1.

Will both teams score in Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Antwerp last 20 games and 9 of Union St.-Gilloise last 20.

How are Antwerp playing?

How are Union St.-Gilloise playing?

What happened when Antwerp and Union St.-Gilloise last met?

It ended Union St.-Gilloise 2, Antwerp 1. In the last 1 meeting Antwerp won 0 and Union St.-Gilloise won 1.

What is the best bet for Antwerp vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.