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Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 16:45 UTC, Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Ararat-Armenia1.00 - 1.94
expected goals
Sparta PragueArarat 18%Draw 23%Sparta 59%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Sparta Prague or Draw
⚡
Bold pick
Sparta Prague to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia to win | 18% | 5.44 | 5.00 | -8.1% |
| A Draw | 23% | 4.36 | 4.20 | -3.6% |
| Sparta Prague to win | 59% | 1.70 | 1.61 | -5.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 | -6.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 | 2.15 | -6.1% |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.5 | 41% | 2.42 | 2.20 | -9.1% |
| Sparta Prague -0.5 | 59% | 1.70 | 1.56 | -8.7% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.95 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 1.83 |
| Ararat-Armenia or Draw | 41% | 2.42 |
| Sparta Prague or Draw | 82% | 1.23 |
| Ararat-Armenia to win and Over 2.5 | 11% | 9.04 |
| Sparta Prague to win and Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 |
| Ararat-Armenia clean sheet | 14% | 6.96 |
| Sparta Prague clean sheet | 37% | 2.72 |
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
0-29.9%
1-29.9%
0-19.6%
0-36.4%
Questions people ask
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague?
Our model gives Ararat-Armenia a 18% chance, the draw 23% and Sparta Prague 59%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague?
We expect about 2.9 goals (Ararat-Armenia 1.00, Sparta Prague 1.94). Over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance.
Will both teams score in Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague?
Both teams to score has a 55% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 10.9% chance, followed by 0-2 and 1-2.