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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 13 Sept, 20:00 UTC

Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata prediction

Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos JuniorsHome
1.56 : 0.80
expected goals
Gimnasia La PlataAway
55%Argentinos
27%Draw
18%Gimnasia LP
Eagle safe pickArgentinos Juniors or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
Argentinos Juniors to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Argentinos Juniors 1.6, Gimnasia La Plata 0.8
Best bet
Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Argentinos Juniors or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Argentinos Juniors to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Argentinos Juniors 55%, the draw 27% and Gimnasia La Plata 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Argentinos Juniors the favourite at 1.74.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Argentinos Juniors took 8 points from their last 5 games and Gimnasia La Plata took 9 from 5. Gimnasia La Plata come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Argentinos Juniors won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Gimnasia La Plata won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Argentinos Juniors score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Gimnasia La Plata score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Argentinos Juniors games and 12 of Gimnasia La Plata games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Argentinos Juniors won 0 and Gimnasia La Plata won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Gimnasia La Plata 2, Argentinos Juniors 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Argentinos Juniors or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata: Argentinos Juniors are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Argentinos Juniors host Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 13 Sept, 20:00 at Diego Armando Maradona. Our prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.23.

Argentinos Juniors form

Argentinos Juniors have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Gimnasia La Plata form

Gimnasia La Plata have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Argentinos Juniors won 0, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Gimnasia La Plata 2, Argentinos Juniors 0.

Our call

We expect Argentinos Juniors to score about 1.6 goals and Gimnasia La Plata about 0.8. That points to Argentinos Juniors to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Argentinos Juniors to win and Over 2.5 at 3.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Argentinos Gimnasia LP
Games played2020
Wins1311
Draws41
Losses38
Goals scored2926
Goals conceded1827
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game0.91.4
Home record9W 1D 0L5W 0D 4L
Away record4W 3D 3L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets40%30%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Argentinos Juniors to win55%1.831.74-4.8%
A Draw27%3.723.55-4.5%
Gimnasia La Plata to win18%5.434.80-11.7%
Over 2.5 goals43%2.342.15-8.3%
Under 2.5 goals57%1.741.63-6.8%
Argentinos Juniors -0.555%1.831.67-9.0%
Gimnasia La Plata +0.545%2.202.00-9.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.40
Over 3.5 goals21%4.74
Both teams to score44%2.27
Argentinos Juniors or Draw82%1.23
Gimnasia La Plata or Draw45%2.21
Argentinos Juniors to win and Over 2.529%3.44
Gimnasia La Plata to win and Over 2.59%11.73
Argentinos Juniors clean sheet45%2.21
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet21%4.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.1%
1-112.5%
2-011.5%
0-010.2%
2-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Our prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Argentinos Juniors to score 1.6 goals and Gimnasia La Plata 0.8.

Will both teams score in Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Argentinos Juniors last 20 games and 10 of Gimnasia La Plata last 20.

How are Argentinos Juniors playing?

Argentinos Juniors have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Gimnasia La Plata playing?

Gimnasia La Plata have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Argentinos Juniors and Gimnasia La Plata last met?

It ended Gimnasia La Plata 2, Argentinos Juniors 0. In the last 1 meeting Argentinos Juniors won 0 and Gimnasia La Plata won 1.

What is the best bet for Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Argentinos Juniors or Draw at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.