Arizona State Sun Devils vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 46.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2871 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arizona St to win

28% chanceFair price +2631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Kansas Jayhawks 72% and Arizona State Sun Devils 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Kansas Jayhawks won 2 of their last 5 and Arizona State Sun Devils won 3 of their last 5. Arizona State Sun Devils come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Kansas Jayhawks won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Arizona State Sun Devils won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Kansas Jayhawks score 28.0 points a game and let in 27.1. Arizona State Sun Devils score 28.9 and let in 23.5. Their recent games average 55.1 and 52.4 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Over 46.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kansas +3.5 wins if Kansas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.