Arkansas Razorbacks vs Utah Utes prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Utah to win

80% chancePrice -5211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Utah Utes 80% and Arkansas Razorbacks 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Utah Utes the favourite at -521.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Utah Utes won 5 of their last 5 and Arkansas Razorbacks won 1 of their last 5. Utah Utes come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Utah Utes won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Arkansas Razorbacks won 0 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Utah Utes score 41.4 points a game and let in 20.1. Arkansas Razorbacks score 28.9 and let in 36.3. Their recent games average 61.5 and 65.2 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Utah to win has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Utah +3.5 wins if Utah win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.