Predictions › Premier League › Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 Kenya time, Villa Park
Aston Villa1.48 - 1.31
expected goals
Nottingham ForestAston Villa 40%Draw 27%Nottm Forest 33%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
★
Best value
Over 2.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Nottingham Forest to win
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to win | 40% | 2.47 | 2.30 | -6.9% |
| A Draw | 27% | 3.75 | 3.45 | -8.1% |
| Nottingham Forest to win | 33% | 3.04 | 3.10 | +2.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.95 | +3.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | 1.83 | -13.6% |
| Aston Villa -0.5 | 40% | 2.47 | 2.15 | -13.0% |
| Nottingham Forest +0.5 | 60% | 1.68 | 1.63 | -3.2% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.75 |
| Aston Villa or Draw | 67% | 1.49 |
| Nottingham Forest or Draw | 60% | 1.68 |
| Aston Villa to win and Over 2.5 | 25% | 3.94 |
| Nottingham Forest to win and Over 2.5 | 20% | 4.93 |
| Aston Villa clean sheet | 27% | 3.72 |
| Nottingham Forest clean sheet | 23% | 4.39 |
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
2-18.8%
1-08.3%
1-27.8%
0-17.3%
Questions people ask
Who will win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model gives Aston Villa a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Nottingham Forest 33%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 2.8 goals (Aston Villa 1.48, Nottingham Forest 1.31). Over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score has a 57% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.6% chance, followed by 2-1 and 1-0.