Predictions › Serie A › Atalanta vs Cagliari
Atalanta vs Cagliari prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 21:45 Kenya time, New Balance Arena
Atalanta1.65 - 0.82
expected goals
CagliariAtalanta 56%Draw 26%Cagliari 18%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Atalanta or Draw
⚡
Bold pick
A Draw
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta to win | 56% | 1.77 | 1.57 | -11.3% |
| A Draw | 26% | 3.89 | 3.85 | -0.9% |
| Cagliari to win | 18% | 5.62 | 5.25 | -6.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | 1.91 | -14.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.87 | +2.8% |
| Atalanta -0.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 1.56 | -12.1% |
| Cagliari +0.5 | 44% | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.1% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.21 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 2.17 |
| Atalanta or Draw | 82% | 1.22 |
| Cagliari or Draw | 44% | 2.30 |
| Atalanta to win and Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.15 |
| Cagliari to win and Over 2.5 | 9% | 11.44 |
| Atalanta clean sheet | 44% | 2.27 |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 19% | 5.23 |
Most likely scores
1-013.2%
1-112.1%
2-011.5%
2-19.5%
0-09.1%
Questions people ask
Who will win Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Our model gives Atalanta a 56% chance, the draw 26% and Cagliari 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.5 goals (Atalanta 1.65, Cagliari 0.82). Over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Both teams to score has a 46% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-0, with a 13.2% chance, followed by 1-1 and 2-0.