PredictionsUnited StatesAthletics vs Cleveland Guardians
MLBSun 20 Sept, 13:40 United States time

Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians prediction

Progressive Field

AthleticsAway
4.1 : 4.5
projected runs
Cleveland GuardiansHome
46%Athletics
54%Guardians
Eagle safe pickAthletics +2.5
-228

Quick answer

Our prediction for Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Athletics 4.1 and Cleveland Guardians 4.5. Our best bet is Athletics +2.5 at -228.

Prediction
Cleveland Guardians to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Athletics 4, Cleveland Guardians 4
Projected total
8.6 runs
Best bet
Athletics +2.5 at -228

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Athletics +2.5
69% chanceFair price -2281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Guardians 54% and Athletics 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Guardians won 2 of their last 5 and Athletics won 3 of their last 5. Athletics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Guardians won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Athletics won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Guardians score 4.8 runs a game and let in 4.3. Athletics score 4.3 and let in 4.6. Their recent games average 9.1 and 8.9 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Cleveland Guardians won 4 and Athletics won 1. The last one ended Athletics 7, Cleveland Guardians 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Athletics +2.5 has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians: Cleveland Guardians shade it

The big picture

Cleveland Guardians host Athletics in the MLB on Sun 20 Sept, 13:40 at Progressive Field. Our prediction for Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Athletics 4.1 and Cleveland Guardians 4.5. Our best bet is Athletics +2.5 at -228.

Cleveland Guardians form

Cleveland Guardians have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 96 runs scored and 86 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Athletics form

Athletics have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 86 runs scored and 92 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Cleveland Guardians won 4, Athletics won 1. Last time out it finished Athletics 7, Cleveland Guardians 1.

Our call

We expect Athletics to score about 4.1 runs and Cleveland Guardians about 4.5. That points to Cleveland Guardians to win. Our safest bet is Athletics +2.5 at -228.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GuardiansAthletics
Games played2020
Wins1310
Losses710
Runs scored9686
Runs conceded8692
Scored per game4.84.3
Conceded per game4.34.6
Home record6W 5L4W 5L
Away record7W 2L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Guardians spreadCoversFair
Guardians -2.531%+228
Guardians -1.539%+154
Guardians -0.549%+105
Guardians +0.558%-139
Guardians +1.567%-204
Total runsOverUnder
6.568%32%
7.560%40%
8.551%49%
9.542%58%
10.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Guardians +3.5 wins if Guardians win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians?

Our prediction for Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Athletics 4.1 and Cleveland Guardians 4.5. Our best bet is Athletics +2.5 at -228.

What is the projected score for Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians?

We project Athletics 4.1 and Cleveland Guardians 4.5, about 8.6 runs in total.

How are Cleveland Guardians playing?

Cleveland Guardians have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 96 runs scored and 86 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Athletics playing?

Athletics have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 86 runs scored and 92 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Guardians and Athletics last met?

It ended Athletics 7, Cleveland Guardians 1. In the last 5 meetings Cleveland Guardians won 4 and Athletics won 1.

What is the best bet for Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians?

Athletics +2.5 at -228, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.