Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Liberty +9.5

74% chanceFair price -2901 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Liberty to win

41% chanceFair price +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives New York Liberty 41% and Atlanta Dream 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   New York Liberty won 3 of their last 5 and Atlanta Dream won 4 of their last 5. Atlanta Dream come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   New York Liberty won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Atlanta Dream won 7 of their last 8 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   New York Liberty score 91.8 points a game and let in 90.2. Atlanta Dream score 93.9 and let in 87.7. Their recent games average 182.1 and 181.6 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, New York Liberty won 1 and Atlanta Dream won 0. The last one ended Atlanta Dream 90, New York Liberty 104.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Liberty +9.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Liberty +3.5 wins if Liberty win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.