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Predictions › Liga MX › Atlas vs Pumas UNAM
Liga MXSat 19 Sept, 23:00 UTC

Atlas vs Pumas UNAM prediction

Estadio Jalisco

AtlasHome
1.14 : 1.65
expected goals
Pumas UNAMAway
26%Atlas
26%Draw
48%UNAM
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlas vs Pumas UNAM is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Pumas UNAM to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Atlas 1.1, Pumas UNAM 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlas 26%, the draw 26% and Pumas UNAM 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlas took 7 points from their last 5 games and Pumas UNAM took 8 from 5. Pumas UNAM come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlas won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Pumas UNAM won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlas score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Pumas UNAM score 1.8 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Atlas games and 11 of Pumas UNAM games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlas won 0 and Pumas UNAM won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atlas 2, Pumas UNAM 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Atlas vs Pumas UNAM: Pumas UNAM are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlas host Pumas UNAM in the Liga MX on Sat 19 Sept, 23:00 at Estadio Jalisco. Our prediction for Atlas vs Pumas UNAM is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Atlas form

Atlas have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Pumas UNAM form

Pumas UNAM have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlas won 0, Pumas UNAM won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atlas 2, Pumas UNAM 2.

Our call

We expect Atlas to score about 1.1 goals and Pumas UNAM about 1.6. That points to Pumas UNAM to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.5 at 3.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AtlasUNAM
Games played2020
Wins89
Draws57
Losses74
Goals scored2235
Goals conceded2425
Scored per game1.11.8
Conceded per game1.21.3
Home record3W 4D 4L5W 4D 2L
Away record5W 1D 3L4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.27
Both teams to score56%1.79
Atlas or Draw52%1.94
Pumas UNAM or Draw74%1.35
Atlas to win and Over 2.515%6.48
Pumas UNAM to win and Over 2.531%3.26
Atlas clean sheet19%5.20
Pumas UNAM clean sheet32%3.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-29.5%
0-19.4%
0-28.3%
0-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlas vs Pumas UNAM?

Our prediction for Atlas vs Pumas UNAM is Pumas UNAM to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Atlas vs Pumas UNAM?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Atlas to score 1.1 goals and Pumas UNAM 1.6.

Will both teams score in Atlas vs Pumas UNAM?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Atlas last 20 games and 11 of Pumas UNAM last 20.

How are Atlas playing?

Atlas have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Pumas UNAM playing?

Pumas UNAM have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlas and Pumas UNAM last met?

It ended Atlas 2, Pumas UNAM 2. In the last 1 meeting Atlas won 0 and Pumas UNAM won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlas vs Pumas UNAM?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.