Predictions › Liga MX › Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa

Liga MXSat 19 Sept, 23:00 UTC

Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa prediction

Estadio Libertad Financiera

Atlético de San LuisHome

1.55 : 1.46

expected goals

NecaxaAway

39%Atl. San Luis

26%Draw

35%Necaxa

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa is Atlético de San Luis to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Atlético de San Luis to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Atlético de San Luis 1.6, Necaxa 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético de San Luis to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Atlético de San Luis 39%, the draw 26% and Necaxa 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Atlético de San Luis took 5 points from their last 5 games and Necaxa took 2 from 5. Atlético de San Luis come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Atlético de San Luis won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Necaxa won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Atlético de San Luis score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. Necaxa score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Atlético de San Luis games and 14 of Necaxa games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Atlético de San Luis won 0 and Necaxa won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Necaxa 4, Atlético de San Luis 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa: Atlético de San Luis shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético de San Luis host Necaxa in the Liga MX on Sat 19 Sept, 23:00 at Estadio Libertad Financiera. Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa is Atlético de San Luis to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Atlético de San Luis form

Atlético de San Luis have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Necaxa form

Necaxa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético de San Luis won 0, Necaxa won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Necaxa 4, Atlético de San Luis 1.

Our call

We expect Atlético de San Luis to score about 1.6 goals and Necaxa about 1.5. That points to Atlético de San Luis to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Atlético de San Luis to win and Over 2.5 at 3.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Atl. San Luis	Necaxa
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	5	5
Losses	10	9
Goals scored	26	25
Goals conceded	34	31
Scored per game	1.3	1.3
Conceded per game	1.7	1.6
Home record	3W 3D 5L	5W 2D 4L
Away record	2W 2D 5L	1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.81
Both teams to score	61%	1.63
Atlético de San Luis or Draw	65%	1.54
Necaxa or Draw	61%	1.64
Atlético de San Luis to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.80
Necaxa to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.26
Atlético de San Luis clean sheet	23%	4.31
Necaxa clean sheet	21%	4.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%

2-18.6%

1-28.1%

1-07.0%

0-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa?

Our prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa is Atlético de San Luis to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Atlético de San Luis to score 1.6 goals and Necaxa 1.5.

Will both teams score in Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Atlético de San Luis last 20 games and 15 of Necaxa last 20.

How are Atlético de San Luis playing?

How are Necaxa playing?

What happened when Atlético de San Luis and Necaxa last met?

It ended Necaxa 4, Atlético de San Luis 1. In the last 2 meetings Atlético de San Luis won 0 and Necaxa won 2.

What is the best bet for Atlético de San Luis vs Necaxa?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.