Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna prediction

Wed 16 Sept, 17:00 UTC, Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atlético Madrid

2.02 - 0.89

expected goals

Osasuna

Atlético 63%Draw 22%Osasuna 15%

Our three picks

✓

Osasuna +1.5

61% chancePrice 1.611 unit

⚡

Atlético Madrid to win and Over 2.5

42% chanceFair price 2.401 unit

No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Atlético Madrid to win	63%	1.58	1.46	-8.1%
A Draw	22%	4.59	4.50	-2.0%
Osasuna to win	15%	6.63	6.50	-1.9%
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.80	1.69	-5.9%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.26	2.10	-6.9%
Atlético Madrid -1.5	39%	2.54	2.15	-15.3%
Osasuna +1.5	61%	1.65	1.61	-2.6%

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.80
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.00
Both teams to score	52%	1.94
Atlético Madrid or Draw	85%	1.18
Osasuna or Draw	37%	2.71
Atlético Madrid to win and Over 2.5	42%	2.40
Osasuna to win and Over 2.5	9%	11.51
Atlético Madrid clean sheet	41%	2.43
Osasuna clean sheet	13%	7.56

2-011.1%

1-010.4%

1-110.4%

2-19.9%

3-07.5%

Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?

Our model gives Atlético Madrid a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Osasuna 15%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?

We expect about 2.9 goals (Atlético Madrid 2.02, Osasuna 0.89). Over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance.

Will both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

2-0, with a 11.1% chance, followed by 1-0 and 1-1.