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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 12 Sept, 20:30 UTC

Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate prediction

Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Atlético TucumánHome
0.86 : 1.13
expected goals
River PlateAway
27%Atl Tucumán
32%Draw
41%River Plate
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.49

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate is River Plate to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.49.

Prediction
River Plate to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Atlético Tucumán 0.9, River Plate 1.1
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.49
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
64% chancePrice 1.491 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Tucumán to win
27% chancePrice 3.85+3.4% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Tucumán 27%, the draw 32% and River Plate 41%. The bookmakers agree and make River Plate the favourite at 2.10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Tucumán took 8 points from their last 5 games and River Plate took 10 from 5. River Plate come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Tucumán won 2 of their last 10 games at home. River Plate won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Tucumán score 0.9 goals a game and let in 0.9. River Plate score 1.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Atlético Tucumán games and 8 of River Plate games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético Tucumán won 2 and River Plate won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended River Plate 0, Atlético Tucumán 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 64% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate: River Plate shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlético Tucumán host River Plate in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 12 Sept, 20:30 at Monumental Presidente José Fierro. Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate is River Plate to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.49.

Atlético Tucumán form

Atlético Tucumán have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

River Plate form

River Plate have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Tucumán won 2, River Plate won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished River Plate 0, Atlético Tucumán 1.

Our call

We expect Atlético Tucumán to score about 0.9 goals and River Plate about 1.1. That points to River Plate to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.49. Our bold bet is Atlético Tucumán to win at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Atl TucumánRiver Plate
Games played2020
Wins611
Draws72
Losses77
Goals scored1831
Goals conceded1818
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game0.90.9
Home record2W 6D 2L7W 2D 5L
Away record4W 1D 5L4W 0D 2L
Clean sheets50%35%
Both teams scored40%35%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Atlético Tucumán to win27%3.723.85+3.4%
A Draw32%3.103.15+1.5%
River Plate to win41%2.442.10-14.1%
Over 2.5 goals36%2.802.50-10.8%
Under 2.5 goals64%1.551.49-4.3%
Atlético Tucumán +0.555%1.801.71-5.0%
River Plate -0.545%2.242.00-10.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.67
Over 2.5 goals32%3.14
Over 3.5 goals14%7.16
Both teams to score40%2.52
Atlético Tucumán or Draw59%1.69
River Plate or Draw73%1.37
Atlético Tucumán to win and Over 2.511%9.26
River Plate to win and Over 2.517%5.71
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet32%3.08
River Plate clean sheet42%2.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.7%
0-014.6%
1-114.1%
1-011.0%
0-28.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate?

Our prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate is River Plate to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.49.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético Tucumán to score 0.9 goals and River Plate 1.1.

Will both teams score in Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Atlético Tucumán last 20 games and 7 of River Plate last 20.

How are Atlético Tucumán playing?

Atlético Tucumán have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are River Plate playing?

River Plate have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Tucumán and River Plate last met?

It ended River Plate 0, Atlético Tucumán 1. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Tucumán won 2 and River Plate won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético Tucumán vs River Plate?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.49, with a 64% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.