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Predictions › J1 League › Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
J1 LeagueSat 19 Sept, 09:00 UTC

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

Best Denki Stadium

Avispa FukuokaHome
1.17 : 1.67
expected goals
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAway
26%A Fukuoka
26%Draw
48%Sanfreece
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Avispa Fukuoka 1.2, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Avispa Fukuoka 26%, the draw 26% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Avispa Fukuoka took 4 points from their last 5 games and Sanfrecce Hiroshima took 8 from 5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Avispa Fukuoka won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 1.8 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Avispa Fukuoka games and 11 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Avispa Fukuoka 2, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Avispa Fukuoka host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League on Sat 19 Sept, 09:00 at Best Denki Stadium. Our prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Avispa Fukuoka form

Avispa Fukuoka have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Avispa Fukuoka won 1, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Avispa Fukuoka 2, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.

Our call

We expect Avispa Fukuoka to score about 1.2 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima about 1.7. That points to Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5 at 3.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

A FukuokaSanfreece
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws95
Losses65
Goals scored2735
Goals conceded2720
Scored per game1.41.8
Conceded per game1.41.0
Home record2W 6D 3L6W 3D 1L
Away record3W 3D 3L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals32%3.17
Both teams to score57%1.77
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw52%1.94
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw74%1.35
Avispa Fukuoka to win and Over 2.516%6.31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.531%3.22
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet19%5.30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet31%3.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-29.5%
0-19.1%
0-28.2%
2-16.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Avispa Fukuoka to score 1.2 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7.

Will both teams score in Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Avispa Fukuoka last 20 games and 11 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima last 20.

How are Avispa Fukuoka playing?

Avispa Fukuoka have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima last met?

It ended Avispa Fukuoka 2, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2. In the last 3 meetings Avispa Fukuoka won 1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1.

What is the best bet for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.