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Predictions › Eredivisie › AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar
EredivisieSun 20 Sept, 12:30 UTC

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar prediction

AFAS Stadion

AZ AlkmaarHome
2.02 : 1.13
expected goals
TelstarAway
57%AZ Alkmaar
22%Draw
20%Telstar
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar is AZ Alkmaar to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
AZ Alkmaar to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AZ Alkmaar 2.0, Telstar 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AZ Alkmaar to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AZ Alkmaar 57%, the draw 22% and Telstar 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AZ Alkmaar took 13 points from their last 5 games and Telstar took 4 from 5. AZ Alkmaar come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AZ Alkmaar won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Telstar won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AZ Alkmaar score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. Telstar score 1.5 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of AZ Alkmaar games and 14 of Telstar games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 2 and Telstar won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Telstar 0, AZ Alkmaar 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar: AZ Alkmaar are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AZ Alkmaar host Telstar in the Eredivisie on Sun 20 Sept, 12:30 at AFAS Stadion. Our prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar is AZ Alkmaar to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

AZ Alkmaar form

AZ Alkmaar have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Telstar form

Telstar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AZ Alkmaar won 2, Telstar won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Telstar 0, AZ Alkmaar 1.

Our call

We expect AZ Alkmaar to score about 2.0 goals and Telstar about 1.1. That points to AZ Alkmaar to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is AZ Alkmaar to win and Over 2.5 at 2.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AZ AlkmaarTelstar
Games played2020
Wins107
Draws64
Losses49
Goals scored4130
Goals conceded2534
Scored per game2.01.5
Conceded per game1.31.7
Home record6W 4D 0L4W 2D 4L
Away record4W 2D 4L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals39%2.59
Both teams to score59%1.69
AZ Alkmaar or Draw80%1.25
Telstar or Draw43%2.34
AZ Alkmaar to win and Over 2.541%2.47
Telstar to win and Over 2.513%7.58
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet32%3.10
Telstar clean sheet13%7.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.9%
2-08.7%
1-08.1%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?

Our prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar is AZ Alkmaar to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect AZ Alkmaar to score 2.0 goals and Telstar 1.1.

Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of AZ Alkmaar last 20 games and 13 of Telstar last 20.

How are AZ Alkmaar playing?

AZ Alkmaar have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Telstar playing?

Telstar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when AZ Alkmaar and Telstar last met?

It ended Telstar 0, AZ Alkmaar 1. In the last 2 meetings AZ Alkmaar won 2 and Telstar won 0.

What is the best bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.