Predictions › Brasileirao › Bahia vs Remo

BrasileiraoMon 14 Sept, 23:00 UTC

Bahia vs Remo prediction

Arena Fonte Nova

BahiaHome

2.03 : 0.87

expected goals

RemoAway

64%Bahia

22%Draw

15%Remo

Eagle safe pickBahia or Draw

1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bahia vs Remo is Bahia to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Bahia or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction: Bahia to win
Chance: 64%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Bahia 2.0, Remo 0.9
Best bet: Bahia or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bahia or Draw

85% chanceFair price 1.172 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bahia to win and Over 2.5

42% chanceFair price 2.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bahia 64%, the draw 22% and Remo 15%. The bookmakers agree and make Bahia the favourite at 1.42.
2
Recent form
Bahia took 11 points from their last 5 games and Remo took 2 from 5. Bahia come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bahia won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Remo won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Bahia score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Remo score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Bahia games and 11 of Remo games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Bahia won 0 and Remo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Remo 4, Bahia 1.
6
The safest bet
Bahia or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Bahia vs Remo: Bahia are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bahia host Remo in the Brasileirao on Mon 14 Sept, 23:00 at Arena Fonte Nova. Our prediction for Bahia vs Remo is Bahia to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Bahia or Draw at 1.17.

Bahia form

Bahia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Remo form

Remo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bahia won 0, Remo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Remo 4, Bahia 1.

Our call

We expect Bahia to score about 2.0 goals and Remo about 0.9. That points to Bahia to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bahia or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Bahia to win and Over 2.5 at 2.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bahia	Remo
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	5
Draws	8	5
Losses	5	10
Goals scored	32	24
Goals conceded	29	32
Scored per game	1.6	1.2
Conceded per game	1.4	1.6
Home record	4W 4D 2L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	3W 4D 3L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	70%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Bahia to win	64%	1.57	1.42	-9.7%
A Draw	22%	4.63	4.60	-0.6%
Remo to win	15%	6.82	6.50	-4.7%
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.78	1.61	-9.5%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.29	2.10	-8.3%
Bahia -1.5	42%	2.37	2.10	-11.5%
Remo +1.5	58%	1.73	1.59	-8.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.80
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.02
Both teams to score	51%	1.95
Bahia or Draw	85%	1.17
Remo or Draw	36%	2.76
Bahia to win and Over 2.5	42%	2.39
Remo to win and Over 2.5	8%	11.93
Bahia clean sheet	42%	2.39
Remo clean sheet	13%	7.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.3%

1-010.5%

1-110.3%

2-19.9%

3-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bahia vs Remo?

Our prediction for Bahia vs Remo is Bahia to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Bahia or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Bahia vs Remo?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Bahia to score 2.0 goals and Remo 0.9.

Will both teams score in Bahia vs Remo?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Bahia last 20 games and 12 of Remo last 20.

How are Bahia playing?

How are Remo playing?

What happened when Bahia and Remo last met?

It ended Remo 4, Bahia 1. In the last 1 meeting Bahia won 0 and Remo won 1.

What is the best bet for Bahia vs Remo?

Bahia or Draw at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.