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Predictions › United States › Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays
MLBFri 11 Sept, 19:07 United States time

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction

Rogers Centre

Baltimore OriolesAway
3.9 : 4.3
projected runs
Toronto Blue JaysHome
45%Orioles
55%Blue Jays

Quick answer

Our prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Orioles 3.9 and Toronto Blue Jays 4.3.

Prediction
Toronto Blue Jays to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Baltimore Orioles 4, Toronto Blue Jays 4
Projected total
8.2 runs
Best bet
No bet for now

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Picks are made up to two hours before kick off and then locked, so there are none for this game.

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Blue Jays 55% and Baltimore Orioles 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Toronto Blue Jays the favourite at -137.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Blue Jays won 2 of their last 5 and Baltimore Orioles won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Blue Jays won 4 of their last 6 games at home. Baltimore Orioles won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Blue Jays score 4.3 runs a game and let in 3.7. Baltimore Orioles score 4.4 and let in 4.2. Their recent games average 8.1 and 8.6 runs in total, and the market line is 8.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Toronto Blue Jays won 2 and Baltimore Orioles won 3. The last one ended Toronto Blue Jays 6, Baltimore Orioles 4.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays: Toronto Blue Jays shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Blue Jays host Baltimore Orioles in the MLB on Fri 11 Sept, 19:07 at Rogers Centre. Our prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Orioles 3.9 and Toronto Blue Jays 4.3.

Toronto Blue Jays form

Toronto Blue Jays have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 87 runs scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Baltimore Orioles form

Baltimore Orioles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 88 runs scored and 84 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Toronto Blue Jays won 2, Baltimore Orioles won 3. Last time out it finished Toronto Blue Jays 6, Baltimore Orioles 4.

Our call

We expect Baltimore Orioles to score about 3.9 runs and Toronto Blue Jays about 4.3. That points to Toronto Blue Jays to win.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Blue JaysOrioles
Games played2020
Wins1110
Losses910
Runs scored8788
Runs conceded7484
Scored per game4.34.4
Conceded per game3.74.2
Home record4W 2L4W 7L
Away record7W 7L6W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Blue Jays to win55%-123-137-4.6%
Orioles to win45%+123+113-4.4%
Blue Jays -1.540%+147+158+4.3%
Orioles +1.560%-147-192-9.4%
Over 8 runs52%-109-103+2.7%
Under 8 runs48%+109-117-11.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Blue Jays spreadCoversFair
Blue Jays -2.532%+217
Blue Jays -1.540%+147
Blue Jays -0.550%+101
Blue Jays +0.559%-145
Blue Jays +1.568%-214
Total runsOverUnder
6.565%35%
7.556%44%
8.547%53%
9.539%61%
10.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blue Jays +3.5 wins if Blue Jays win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Our prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Orioles 3.9 and Toronto Blue Jays 4.3.

What is the projected score for Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays?

We project Baltimore Orioles 3.9 and Toronto Blue Jays 4.3, about 8.2 runs in total.

How are Toronto Blue Jays playing?

Toronto Blue Jays have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 87 runs scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Baltimore Orioles playing?

Baltimore Orioles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 88 runs scored and 84 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles last met?

It ended Toronto Blue Jays 6, Baltimore Orioles 4. In the last 5 meetings Toronto Blue Jays won 2 and Baltimore Orioles won 3.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.