Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Banfield vs Barracas Central

Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 14 Sept, 22:00 UTC

Banfield vs Barracas Central prediction

Florencio Solá

BanfieldHome

1.06 : 0.94

expected goals

Barracas CentralAway

37%Banfield

32%Draw

31%Barracas

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Banfield vs Barracas Central is Banfield to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction: Banfield to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Banfield 1.1, Barracas Central 0.9
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score: 41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

86% chanceFair price 1.172 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Barracas Central to win

31% chancePrice 3.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Banfield 37%, the draw 32% and Barracas Central 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Banfield the favourite at 2.35.
2
Recent form
Banfield took 3 points from their last 5 games and Barracas Central took 2 from 5. Banfield come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Banfield won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Barracas Central won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Banfield score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Barracas Central score 0.8 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Banfield games and 7 of Barracas Central games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Banfield won 1 and Barracas Central won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Barracas Central 1, Banfield 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Banfield vs Barracas Central: Banfield shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Banfield host Barracas Central in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 14 Sept, 22:00 at Florencio Solá. Our prediction for Banfield vs Barracas Central is Banfield to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Banfield form

Banfield have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Barracas Central form

Barracas Central have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Banfield won 1, Barracas Central won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Barracas Central 1, Banfield 2.

Our call

We expect Banfield to score about 1.1 goals and Barracas Central about 0.9. That points to Banfield to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Barracas Central to win at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Banfield	Barracas
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	3	6
Losses	11	7
Goals scored	22	16
Goals conceded	28	18
Scored per game	1.1	0.8
Conceded per game	1.4	0.9
Home record	4W 1D 4L	3W 2D 4L
Away record	2W 2D 7L	4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	30%	35%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Banfield to win	37%	2.71	2.35	-13.3%
A Draw	32%	3.09	2.95	-4.5%
Barracas Central to win	31%	3.25	3.25	-0.2%
Over 1.5 goals	59%	1.71	1.61	-6.0%
Under 1.5 goals	41%	2.41	2.20	-8.8%
Banfield -0.5	40%	2.52	2.25	-10.7%
Barracas Central +0.5	60%	1.66	1.56	-6.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	60%	1.66
Over 2.5 goals	32%	3.09
Over 3.5 goals	14%	6.98
Both teams to score	41%	2.46
Banfield or Draw	69%	1.44
Barracas Central or Draw	63%	1.58
Banfield to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.32
Barracas Central to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.80
Banfield clean sheet	39%	2.57
Barracas Central clean sheet	35%	2.89

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.3%

1-114.3%

1-013.5%

0-111.9%

2-07.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Banfield vs Barracas Central?

Our prediction for Banfield vs Barracas Central is Banfield to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Banfield vs Barracas Central?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Banfield to score 1.1 goals and Barracas Central 0.9.

Will both teams score in Banfield vs Barracas Central?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Banfield last 20 games and 9 of Barracas Central last 20.

How are Banfield playing?

How are Barracas Central playing?

What happened when Banfield and Barracas Central last met?

It ended Barracas Central 1, Banfield 2. In the last 1 meeting Banfield won 1 and Barracas Central won 0.

What is the best bet for Banfield vs Barracas Central?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.