Predictions › LaLiga › Barcelona vs Racing Santander
Barcelona vs Racing Santander prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 19:30 UTC, Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona4.00 - 1.01
expected goals
Racing SantanderBarcelona 87%Draw 8%Racing 5%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Racing Santander +3.5
★
Best value
Over 4.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Correct score 3-1
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona to win | 87% | 1.14 | 1.08 | -5.4% |
| A Draw | 8% | 12.47 | 12.00 | -3.8% |
| Racing Santander to win | 5% | 21.55 | 20.00 | -7.2% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.87 | +4.5% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 | 1.87 | -17.5% |
| Barcelona -3.5 | 39% | 2.57 | 2.15 | -16.5% |
| Racing Santander +3.5 | 61% | 1.64 | 1.59 | -2.9% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 1.60 |
| Barcelona or Draw | 95% | 1.05 |
| Racing Santander or Draw | 13% | 7.90 |
| Barcelona to win and Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.26 |
| Racing Santander to win and Over 2.5 | 4% | 26.44 |
| Barcelona clean sheet | 37% | 2.74 |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 2% | 54.19 |
Most likely scores
3-17.2%
4-17.2%
3-07.2%
4-07.2%
5-15.8%
Questions people ask
Who will win Barcelona vs Racing Santander?
Our model gives Barcelona a 87% chance, the draw 8% and Racing Santander 5%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona vs Racing Santander?
We expect about 5.0 goals (Barcelona 4.00, Racing Santander 1.01). Over 2.5 goals has a 88% chance.
Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Racing Santander?
Both teams to score has a 62% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
3-1, with a 7.2% chance, followed by 4-1 and 3-0.
