PredictionsUnited KingdomBarnsley vs Leicester City
League OneSat 19 Sept, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Barnsley vs Leicester City prediction

Oakwell

BarnsleyHome
1.33 : 1.38
expected goals
Leicester CityAway
35%Barnsley
27%Draw
37%Leicester
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Barnsley vs Leicester City is Leicester City to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Leicester City to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Barnsley 1.3, Leicester City 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Barnsley 35%, the draw 27% and Leicester City 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Barnsley took 10 points from their last 5 games and Leicester City took 4 from 5. Barnsley come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Barnsley won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Leicester City won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Barnsley score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Leicester City score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Barnsley games and 6 of Leicester City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Barnsley vs Leicester City: Leicester City shade it

The big picture

Barnsley host Leicester City in the League One on Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 at Oakwell. Our prediction for Barnsley vs Leicester City is Leicester City to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Barnsley form

Barnsley have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Leicester City form

Leicester City have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Barnsley to score about 1.3 goals and Leicester City about 1.4. That points to Leicester City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BarnsleyLeicester
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws89
Losses77
Goals scored2318
Goals conceded2925
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record2W 4D 5L3W 3D 5L
Away record3W 4D 2L1W 6D 2L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%3/10
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens
Over 3.5 goals29%5/2
Both teams to score56%4/5
Barnsley or Draw63%8/13
Leicester City or Draw65%8/15
Barnsley to win and Over 2.521%7/2
Leicester City to win and Over 2.523%10/3
Barnsley clean sheet25%3/1
Leicester City clean sheet26%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-18.4%
1-28.4%
2-18.1%
1-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Barnsley vs Leicester City?

Our prediction for Barnsley vs Leicester City is Leicester City to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Barnsley vs Leicester City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Barnsley to score 1.3 goals and Leicester City 1.4.

Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Leicester City?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Barnsley last 20 games and 10 of Leicester City last 20.

How are Barnsley playing?

Barnsley have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Leicester City playing?

Leicester City have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Barnsley vs Leicester City?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.