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IndiaPredictions › Europa League › Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje
Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UTC, BayArena
Bayer Leverkusen2.87 - 1.02
expected goals
NK CeljeLeverkusen 75%Draw 15%NK Celje 10%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
NK Celje +2.5
★
Best value
NK Celje +2.5
⚡
Bold pick
Bayer Leverkusen to win and both score
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to win | 75% | 1.33 | 1.18 | -11.4% |
| A Draw | 15% | 6.72 | 7.50 | +11.6% |
| NK Celje to win | 10% | 9.80 | 12.00 | +22.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.69 | -8.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.20 | 2.10 | -4.3% |
| Bayer Leverkusen -2.5 | 35% | 2.85 | 2.10 | -26.2% |
| NK Celje +2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | 1.63 | +5.4% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 1.65 |
| Bayer Leverkusen or Draw | 90% | 1.11 |
| NK Celje or Draw | 25% | 3.99 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to win and Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| NK Celje to win and Over 2.5 | 7% | 13.50 |
| Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet | 36% | 2.78 |
| NK Celje clean sheet | 6% | 17.59 |
Most likely scores
2-18.6%
2-08.4%
3-18.2%
3-08.0%
1-16.4%
Questions people ask
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje?
Our model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 75% chance, the draw 15% and NK Celje 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje?
We expect about 3.9 goals (Bayer Leverkusen 2.87, NK Celje 1.02). Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance.
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje?
Both teams to score has a 61% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
2-1, with a 8.6% chance, followed by 2-0 and 3-1.