PredictionsUnited KingdomBlackpool vs Bromley
League OneSat 12 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Blackpool vs Bromley prediction

Bloomfield Road

BlackpoolHome
1.83 : 1.06
expected goals
BromleyAway
55%Blackpool
24%Draw
21%Bromley
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Blackpool vs Bromley is Blackpool to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Blackpool to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Blackpool 1.8, Bromley 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units

Eagle bold pick

Blackpool to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Blackpool 55%, the draw 24% and Bromley 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Blackpool the favourite at 4/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Blackpool took 6 points from their last 5 games and Bromley took 4 from 5. Blackpool come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Blackpool score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Bromley score 0.8 and let in 2.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Blackpool games and 2 of Bromley games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Blackpool vs Bromley: Blackpool are favourites

The big picture

Blackpool host Bromley in the League One on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at Bloomfield Road. Our prediction for Blackpool vs Bromley is Blackpool to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Blackpool form

Blackpool have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Bromley form

Bromley have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 5 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Blackpool to score about 1.8 goals and Bromley about 1.1. That points to Blackpool to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Blackpool to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BlackpoolBromley
Games played206
Wins101
Draws32
Losses73
Goals scored275
Goals conceded2716
Scored per game1.40.8
Conceded per game1.42.7
Home record6W 2D 1L0W 2D 2L
Away record4W 1D 6L1W 0D 1L
Clean sheets35%17%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Blackpool to win55%5/64/5-2.8%
A Draw24%3/111/4-9.7%
Bromley to win21%4/17/2-5.6%
Over 2.5 goals55%5/68/11-6.3%
Under 2.5 goals45%6/521/20-7.1%
Blackpool -0.555%5/64/6-7.3%
Bromley +0.545%6/521/20-7.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1/4
Over 2.5 goals55%4/5
Over 3.5 goals33%2/1
Both teams to score55%4/5
Blackpool or Draw79%1/4
Bromley or Draw45%6/5
Blackpool to win and Over 2.536%7/4
Bromley to win and Over 2.513%7/1
Blackpool clean sheet35%15/8
Bromley clean sheet16%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.9%
1-09.5%
2-09.3%
0-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Blackpool vs Bromley?

Our prediction for Blackpool vs Bromley is Blackpool to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Blackpool vs Bromley?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Blackpool to score 1.8 goals and Bromley 1.1.

Will both teams score in Blackpool vs Bromley?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Blackpool last 20 games and 3 of Bromley last 6.

How are Blackpool playing?

Blackpool have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Bromley playing?

Bromley have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 5 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Blackpool vs Bromley?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.