Blackpool vs Plymouth Argyle prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 2/72 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Blackpool 35%, the draw 27% and Plymouth Argyle 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Blackpool took 6 points from their last 5 games and Plymouth Argyle took 7 from 5. Plymouth Argyle come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Blackpool won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Plymouth Argyle won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Goals

   Blackpool score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Plymouth Argyle score 1.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Blackpool games and 13 of Plymouth Argyle games in that run.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Blackpool won 0 and Plymouth Argyle won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Blackpool 0, Plymouth Argyle 4.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.