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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 12 Sept, 00:30 UTC

Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) prediction

Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera)

Boca JuniorsHome
1.60 : 0.58
expected goals
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)Away
62%Boca
26%Draw
12%C. Córdoba (SE)
Eagle safe pickCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5
1.50

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Boca Juniors to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5 at 1.50.

Prediction
Boca Juniors to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Boca Juniors 1.6, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.6
Best bet
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5 at 1.50
Both teams to score
36%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5
63% chancePrice 1.501 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

A Draw
26% chancePrice 4.20+7.9% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boca Juniors 62%, the draw 26% and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 12%. The bookmakers agree and make Boca Juniors the favourite at 1.47.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boca Juniors took 7 points from their last 5 games and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) took 4 from 5. Boca Juniors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boca Juniors won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boca Juniors score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) score 0.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Boca Juniors games and 6 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Boca Juniors won 1 and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Boca Juniors 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5 has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero): Boca Juniors are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boca Juniors host Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 12 Sept, 00:30 at Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera). Our prediction for Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Boca Juniors to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5 at 1.50.

Boca Juniors form

Boca Juniors have 8 wins, 10 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) form

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Boca Juniors won 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Boca Juniors 2.

Our call

We expect Boca Juniors to score about 1.6 goals and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) about 0.6. That points to Boca Juniors to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5 at 1.50. Our bold bet is A Draw at 4.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Boca C. Córdoba (SE)
Games played2020
Wins85
Draws104
Losses211
Goals scored2814
Goals conceded1827
Scored per game1.40.7
Conceded per game0.91.4
Home record3W 5D 1L4W 1D 5L
Away record5W 5D 1L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets40%30%
Both teams scored55%30%
Over 2.5 goals35%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Boca Juniors to win62%1.621.47-9.3%
A Draw26%3.894.20+7.9%
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win12%8.057.50-6.8%
Over 2.5 goals42%2.402.15-10.3%
Under 2.5 goals58%1.721.67-2.8%
Boca Juniors -1.537%2.682.40-10.5%
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.563%1.601.50-6.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.55
Over 2.5 goals37%2.69
Over 3.5 goals18%5.67
Both teams to score36%2.81
Boca Juniors or Draw88%1.14
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or Draw38%2.62
Boca Juniors to win and Over 2.530%3.35
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win and Over 2.55%21.42
Boca Juniors clean sheet56%1.78
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet20%4.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.5%
2-014.6%
0-011.9%
1-111.1%
2-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Our prediction for Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Boca Juniors to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5 at 1.50.

What is the score prediction for Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Boca Juniors to score 1.6 goals and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.6.

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Both teams to score has a 36% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Boca Juniors last 20 games and 6 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last 20.

How are Boca Juniors playing?

Boca Juniors have 8 wins, 10 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) playing?

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Boca Juniors and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last met?

It ended Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Boca Juniors 2. In the last 2 meetings Boca Juniors won 1 and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0.

What is the best bet for Boca Juniors vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +1.5 at 1.50, with a 63% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.