Predictions › Serie A › Bologna vs Torino

Serie ASat 19 Sept, 13:00 UTC

Bologna vs Torino prediction

Renato Dall'Ara

BolognaHome

1.46 : 1.08

expected goals

TorinoAway

45%Bologna

28%Draw

27%Torino

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bologna vs Torino is Bologna to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction: Bologna to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Bologna 1.5, Torino 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Torino to win

27% chancePrice 3.75+1.9% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bologna 45%, the draw 28% and Torino 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Bologna the favourite at 1.87.
2
Recent form
Bologna took 5 points from their last 5 games and Torino took 4 from 5. Bologna come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bologna won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Torino won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Bologna score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Torino score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Bologna games and 15 of Torino games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Bologna won 1 and Torino won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Torino 1, Bologna 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Bologna vs Torino: Bologna are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bologna host Torino in the Serie A on Sat 19 Sept, 13:00 at Renato Dall'Ara. Our prediction for Bologna vs Torino is Bologna to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

Bologna form

Bologna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Torino form

Torino have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bologna won 1, Torino won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Torino 1, Bologna 2.

Our call

We expect Bologna to score about 1.5 goals and Torino about 1.1. That points to Bologna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Torino to win at 3.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bologna	Torino
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	7
Draws	4	4
Losses	8	9
Goals scored	23	27
Goals conceded	29	34
Scored per game	1.1	1.4
Conceded per game	1.4	1.7
Home record	2W 4D 5L	5W 2D 2L
Away record	6W 0D 3L	2W 2D 7L
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Both teams scored	40%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Bologna to win	45%	2.21	1.87	-15.5%
A Draw	28%	3.62	3.35	-7.4%
Torino to win	27%	3.68	3.75	+1.9%
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.10	1.95	-7.1%
Under 2.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.80	-5.7%
Bologna -0.5	49%	2.06	1.83	-11.0%
Torino +0.5	51%	1.94	1.83	-5.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.14
Over 3.5 goals	25%	3.98
Both teams to score	51%	1.94
Bologna or Draw	73%	1.37
Torino or Draw	55%	1.82
Bologna to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.84
Torino to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.74
Bologna clean sheet	34%	2.94
Torino clean sheet	23%	4.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%

1-010.8%

2-19.1%

0-08.6%

2-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bologna vs Torino?

Our prediction for Bologna vs Torino is Bologna to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Bologna vs Torino?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Bologna to score 1.5 goals and Torino 1.1.

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Torino?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Bologna last 20 games and 13 of Torino last 20.

How are Bologna playing?

How are Torino playing?

What happened when Bologna and Torino last met?

It ended Torino 1, Bologna 2. In the last 2 meetings Bologna won 1 and Torino won 0.

What is the best bet for Bologna vs Torino?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.