Predictions › Bundesliga › Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 16:30 Kenya time, Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Dortmund2.92 - 1.02
expected goals
SC Paderborn 07Dortmund 76%Draw 14%Paderborn 10%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Borussia Dortmund to win
★
Best value
Over 3.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Borussia Dortmund to win and both score
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund to win | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 | -7.5% |
| A Draw | 14% | 6.90 | 6.50 | -5.9% |
| SC Paderborn 07 to win | 10% | 10.20 | 9.50 | -6.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | 1.87 | +3.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | 1.91 | -14.6% |
| Borussia Dortmund -1.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 1.63 | -8.2% |
| SC Paderborn 07 +1.5 | 44% | 2.30 | 2.15 | -6.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 1.65 |
| Borussia Dortmund or Draw | 90% | 1.11 |
| SC Paderborn 07 or Draw | 24% | 4.12 |
| Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| SC Paderborn 07 to win and Over 2.5 | 7% | 14.00 |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 36% | 2.76 |
| SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet | 5% | 18.45 |
Most likely scores
2-18.5%
2-08.3%
3-18.2%
3-08.1%
1-16.2%
Questions people ask
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our model gives Borussia Dortmund a 76% chance, the draw 14% and SC Paderborn 07 10%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
We expect about 3.9 goals (Borussia Dortmund 2.92, SC Paderborn 07 1.02). Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance.
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Both teams to score has a 61% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
2-1, with a 8.5% chance, followed by 2-0 and 3-1.