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Predictions › Brasileirao › Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino
BrasileiraoSat 12 Sept, 23:30 UTC

Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino prediction

Joao Havelange Stadium

BotafogoHome
1.48 : 1.26
expected goals
Red Bull BragantinoAway
42%Botafogo
27%Draw
32%Bragantino
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Botafogo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Botafogo to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Botafogo 1.5, Red Bull Bragantino 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Botafogo to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Botafogo 42%, the draw 27% and Red Bull Bragantino 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Botafogo the favourite at 2.35.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Botafogo took 2 points from their last 5 games and Red Bull Bragantino took 4 from 5. Red Bull Bragantino come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Botafogo won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Red Bull Bragantino won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Botafogo score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Red Bull Bragantino score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Botafogo games and 10 of Red Bull Bragantino games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Botafogo won 1 and Red Bull Bragantino won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Red Bull Bragantino 1, Botafogo 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino: Botafogo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Botafogo host Red Bull Bragantino in the Brasileirao on Sat 12 Sept, 23:30 at Joao Havelange Stadium. Our prediction for Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Botafogo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Botafogo form

Botafogo have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Red Bull Bragantino form

Red Bull Bragantino have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Botafogo won 1, Red Bull Bragantino won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Red Bull Bragantino 1, Botafogo 2.

Our call

We expect Botafogo to score about 1.5 goals and Red Bull Bragantino about 1.3. That points to Botafogo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Botafogo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BotafogoBragantino
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws73
Losses69
Goals scored2927
Goals conceded2924
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record3W 5D 2L5W 1D 5L
Away record4W 2D 4L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored75%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Botafogo to win42%2.402.35-2.1%
A Draw27%3.733.40-8.8%
Red Bull Bragantino to win32%3.172.90-8.5%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.941.80-7.2%
Under 2.5 goals48%2.061.91-7.5%
Botafogo -0.542%2.402.20-8.4%
Red Bull Bragantino +0.558%1.711.57-8.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.37
Both teams to score56%1.78
Botafogo or Draw68%1.46
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw58%1.71
Botafogo to win and Over 2.526%3.88
Red Bull Bragantino to win and Over 2.519%5.25
Botafogo clean sheet28%3.54
Red Bull Bragantino clean sheet23%4.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
2-18.9%
1-08.8%
1-27.6%
0-17.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Our prediction for Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Botafogo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Botafogo to score 1.5 goals and Red Bull Bragantino 1.3.

Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Botafogo last 20 games and 10 of Red Bull Bragantino last 20.

How are Botafogo playing?

Botafogo have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Red Bull Bragantino playing?

Red Bull Bragantino have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Botafogo and Red Bull Bragantino last met?

It ended Red Bull Bragantino 1, Botafogo 2. In the last 1 meeting Botafogo won 1 and Red Bull Bragantino won 0.

What is the best bet for Botafogo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.