Bowling Green Falcons vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Iowa State +0.5

74% chanceFair price -2861 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bowling Green to win

26% chanceFair price +2781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Iowa State Cyclones 74% and Bowling Green Falcons 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Iowa State Cyclones won 4 of their last 5 and Bowling Green Falcons won 1 of their last 5. Iowa State Cyclones come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Iowa State Cyclones won 3 of their last 5 games at home. Bowling Green Falcons won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Iowa State Cyclones score 27.2 points a game and let in 21.1. Bowling Green Falcons score 19.4 and let in 24.5. Their recent games average 48.3 and 43.9 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Iowa State +0.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Iowa State +3.5 wins if Iowa State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.