Predictions › Ligue 1 › Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain
Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction
Sun 13 Sept, 18:45 UTC, Stade Francis-Le Blé
Brest1.08 - 2.49
expected goals
Paris Saint-GermainBrest 14%Draw 18%PSG 68%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Paris Saint-Germain or Draw
★
Best value
Brest +1.5
⚡
Bold pick
Paris Saint-Germain to win and both score
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest to win | 14% | 7.08 | 10.00 | +41.3% |
| A Draw | 18% | 5.49 | 6.50 | +18.3% |
| Paris Saint-Germain to win | 68% | 1.48 | 1.26 | -15.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 | 2.00 | -4.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 | -6.0% |
| Brest +1.5 | 54% | 1.86 | 2.10 | +12.6% |
| Paris Saint-Germain -1.5 | 46% | 2.16 | 1.67 | -22.7% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 1.64 |
| Brest or Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
| Paris Saint-Germain or Draw | 86% | 1.16 |
| Brest to win and Over 2.5 | 10% | 10.11 |
| Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Brest clean sheet | 8% | 12.04 |
| Paris Saint-Germain clean sheet | 34% | 2.94 |
Most likely scores
1-29.4%
0-28.7%
1-18.0%
1-37.8%
0-37.3%
Questions people ask
Who will win Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Our model gives Brest a 14% chance, the draw 18% and Paris Saint-Germain 68%.
How many goals will there be in Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain?
We expect about 3.6 goals (Brest 1.08, Paris Saint-Germain 2.49). Over 2.5 goals has a 69% chance.
Will both teams score in Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Both teams to score has a 61% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-2, with a 9.4% chance, followed by 0-2 and 1-1.
