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Predictions › United Kingdom › Bristol City vs Lincoln City
ChampionshipTue 15 Sept, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Bristol City vs Lincoln City prediction

Ashton Gate

Bristol CityHome
1.35 : 1.22
expected goals
Lincoln CityAway
39%Bristol City
28%Draw
33%Lincoln City
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
4/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln City is Bristol City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 4/11.

Prediction
Bristol City to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Bristol City 1.4, Lincoln City 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 4/11
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 4/111 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bristol City 39%, the draw 28% and Lincoln City 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bristol City took 10 points from their last 5 games and Lincoln City took 8 from 5. Bristol City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bristol City won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Lincoln City won 8 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bristol City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Lincoln City score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Bristol City games and 12 of Lincoln City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Bristol City vs Lincoln City: Bristol City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bristol City host Lincoln City in the Championship on Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 at Ashton Gate. Our prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln City is Bristol City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 4/11.

Bristol City form

Bristol City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Lincoln City form

Lincoln City have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Bristol City to score about 1.4 goals and Lincoln City about 1.2. That points to Bristol City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 4/11. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Bristol CityLincoln City
Games played2020
Wins713
Draws44
Losses93
Goals scored2336
Goals conceded2722
Scored per game1.11.8
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record3W 0D 6L5W 2D 1L
Away record4W 4D 3L8W 2D 2L
Clean sheets15%40%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%4/11
Over 2.5 goals48%11/10
Over 3.5 goals26%11/4
Both teams to score53%10/11
Bristol City or Draw67%1/2
Lincoln City or Draw61%8/13
Bristol City to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Lincoln City to win and Over 2.519%9/2
Bristol City clean sheet29%12/5
Lincoln City clean sheet26%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-09.5%
0-18.6%
2-18.5%
0-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln City is Bristol City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 4/11.

What is the score prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Bristol City to score 1.4 goals and Lincoln City 1.2.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Bristol City last 20 games and 11 of Lincoln City last 20.

How are Bristol City playing?

Bristol City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Lincoln City playing?

Lincoln City have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

Under 3.5 goals at 4/11, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.