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Predictions › United Kingdom › Bristol City vs Watford
ChampionshipFri 18 Sept, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Bristol City vs Watford prediction

Ashton Gate

Bristol CityHome
1.51 : 1.05
expected goals
WatfordAway
47%Bristol City
27%Draw
26%Watford
Eagle safe pickBristol City or Draw
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Watford is Bristol City to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Bristol City or Draw at 1/3.

Prediction
Bristol City to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Bristol City 1.5, Watford 1.1
Best bet
Bristol City or Draw at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bristol City or Draw
74% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bristol City to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bristol City 47%, the draw 27% and Watford 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bristol City took 10 points from their last 5 games and Watford took 4 from 5. Bristol City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bristol City won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Watford won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bristol City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Watford score 0.9 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Bristol City games and 10 of Watford games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Bristol City won 0 and Watford won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Bristol City 1, Watford 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bristol City or Draw has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Bristol City vs Watford: Bristol City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bristol City host Watford in the Championship on Fri 18 Sept, 20:00 at Ashton Gate. Our prediction for Bristol City vs Watford is Bristol City to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Bristol City or Draw at 1/3.

Bristol City form

Bristol City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Watford form

Watford have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bristol City won 0, Watford won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Bristol City 1, Watford 2.

Our call

We expect Bristol City to score about 1.5 goals and Watford about 1.1. That points to Bristol City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bristol City or Draw at 1/3. Our bold bet is Bristol City to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Bristol CityWatford
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws45
Losses910
Goals scored2318
Goals conceded2737
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record3W 0D 6L4W 3D 3L
Away record4W 4D 3L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals47%11/10
Over 3.5 goals26%3/1
Both teams to score52%10/11
Bristol City or Draw74%1/3
Watford or Draw53%10/11
Bristol City to win and Over 2.527%13/5
Watford to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Bristol City clean sheet35%15/8
Watford clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-010.9%
2-19.3%
2-08.8%
0-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bristol City vs Watford?

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Watford is Bristol City to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Bristol City or Draw at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Bristol City vs Watford?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Bristol City to score 1.5 goals and Watford 1.1.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Watford?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Bristol City last 20 games and 12 of Watford last 20.

How are Bristol City playing?

Bristol City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Watford playing?

Watford have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Bristol City and Watford last met?

It ended Bristol City 1, Watford 2. In the last 2 meetings Bristol City won 0 and Watford won 1.

What is the best bet for Bristol City vs Watford?

Bristol City or Draw at 1/3, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.