Buffalo Bulls vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Penn State to win

78% chanceFair price -3612 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Penn State Nittany Lions 78% and Buffalo Bulls 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Penn State Nittany Lions won 5 of their last 5 and Buffalo Bulls won 2 of their last 5. Penn State Nittany Lions come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Penn State Nittany Lions won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Buffalo Bulls won 3 of their last 4 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Penn State Nittany Lions score 30.7 points a game and let in 21.3. Buffalo Bulls score 23.1 and let in 24.5. Their recent games average 52.0 and 47.6 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Penn State to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penn State +3.5 wins if Penn State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.