Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 9 goals

84% chanceFair price -5292 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Penguins to win

37% chanceFair price +1701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Pittsburgh Penguins 37% and Buffalo Sabres 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5 and Buffalo Sabres won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Pittsburgh Penguins won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Buffalo Sabres won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.5 goals a game and let in 3.7. Buffalo Sabres score 3.4 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 7.2 and 6.3 goals in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Pittsburgh Penguins won 4 and Buffalo Sabres won 1. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Buffalo Sabres 5.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Under 9 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penguins +3.5 wins if Penguins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.