Predictions › United Kingdom › Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town

League OneSat 19 Sept, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town prediction

Pirelli Stadium

Burton AlbionHome

1.38 : 0.93

expected goals

Mansfield TownAway

46%Burton Albion

29%Draw

25%Mansfield

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town is Burton Albion to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction: Burton Albion to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Burton Albion 1.4, Mansfield Town 0.9
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Burton Albion 46%, the draw 29% and Mansfield Town 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Burton Albion took 8 points from their last 5 games and Mansfield Town took 6 from 5. Burton Albion come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Burton Albion won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Mansfield Town won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Burton Albion score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Mansfield Town score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Burton Albion games and 11 of Mansfield Town games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Burton Albion won 0 and Mansfield Town won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Mansfield Town 0, Burton Albion 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: Burton Albion are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Burton Albion host Mansfield Town in the League One on Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 at Pirelli Stadium. Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town is Burton Albion to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Burton Albion form

Burton Albion have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Mansfield Town form

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Burton Albion won 0, Mansfield Town won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Mansfield Town 0, Burton Albion 0.

Our call

We expect Burton Albion to score about 1.4 goals and Mansfield Town about 0.9. That points to Burton Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Burton Albion	Mansfield
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	8
Draws	8	7
Losses	6	5
Goals scored	26	31
Goals conceded	23	27
Scored per game	1.3	1.6
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	4W 4D 3L	5W 3D 1L
Away record	2W 4D 3L	3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	35%
Both teams scored	65%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	68%	4/9
Over 2.5 goals	41%	7/5
Over 3.5 goals	20%	4/1
Both teams to score	46%	6/5
Burton Albion or Draw	75%	1/3
Mansfield Town or Draw	54%	5/6
Burton Albion to win and Over 2.5	24%	3/1
Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.5	12%	15/2
Burton Albion clean sheet	39%	6/4
Mansfield Town clean sheet	25%	3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%

1-012.9%

0-010.6%

2-09.4%

2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?

Our prediction for Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town is Burton Albion to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Burton Albion to score 1.4 goals and Mansfield Town 0.9.

Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Burton Albion last 20 games and 10 of Mansfield Town last 20.

How are Burton Albion playing?

How are Mansfield Town playing?

What happened when Burton Albion and Mansfield Town last met?

It ended Mansfield Town 0, Burton Albion 0. In the last 1 meeting Burton Albion won 0 and Mansfield Town won 0.

What is the best bet for Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.