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Predictions › United Kingdom › Cambridge United vs Reading
League OneSat 12 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Cambridge United vs Reading prediction

Cledara Abbey Stadium

Cambridge UnitedHome
1.30 : 1.33
expected goals
ReadingAway
35%Cambridge
28%Draw
37%Reading
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Reading is Reading to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Reading to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cambridge United 1.3, Reading 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cambridge United 35%, the draw 28% and Reading 37%. The bookmakers agree and make Reading the favourite at 8/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cambridge United took 5 points from their last 5 games and Reading took 10 from 5. Reading come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cambridge United won 2 of their last 4 games at home. Reading won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cambridge United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Reading score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Cambridge United games and 11 of Reading games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Cambridge United vs Reading: Reading shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cambridge United host Reading in the League One on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at Cledara Abbey Stadium. Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Reading is Reading to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Cambridge United form

Cambridge United have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Reading form

Reading have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cambridge United to score about 1.3 goals and Reading about 1.3. That points to Reading to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CambridgeReading
Games played820
Wins37
Draws26
Losses37
Goals scored1132
Goals conceded1124
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record2W 0D 2L4W 1D 4L
Away record1W 2D 1L3W 5D 3L
Clean sheets0%20%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals63%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Cambridge United to win35%9/513/8-6.4%
A Draw28%13/512/5-5.8%
Reading to win37%7/48/5-3.8%
Over 2.5 goals49%21/2010/11-6.5%
Under 2.5 goals51%Evens5/6-6.4%
Cambridge United +0.562%8/131/2-7.1%
Reading -0.538%13/86/4-8.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score54%5/6
Cambridge United or Draw63%4/7
Reading or Draw65%8/15
Cambridge United to win and Over 2.521%4/1
Reading to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Cambridge United clean sheet26%11/4
Reading clean sheet27%13/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-18.9%
1-08.6%
1-28.3%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cambridge United vs Reading?

Our prediction for Cambridge United vs Reading is Reading to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Cambridge United vs Reading?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Cambridge United to score 1.3 goals and Reading 1.3.

Will both teams score in Cambridge United vs Reading?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Cambridge United last 8 games and 12 of Reading last 20.

How are Cambridge United playing?

Cambridge United have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Reading playing?

Reading have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cambridge United vs Reading?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.