Campbell Fighting Camels vs Florida Gators prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Florida -40.5

73% chanceFair price -2761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Florida Gators 100% and Campbell Fighting Camels 0%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Florida Gators won 2 of their last 5 and Campbell Fighting Camels won 0 of their last 1. Florida Gators come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Scoring

   Florida Gators score 23.1 points a game and let in 26.5. Campbell Fighting Camels score 10.0 and let in 56.0. Their recent games average 49.5 and 66.0 points in total, and the market line is 65.5.

4. 4
   The safest bet

   Florida -40.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Florida +3.5 wins if Florida win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.